Joost:
xander71:

I talked to the gut from  abig company that are placing teslas in Italy, 

he did the following comment.

1) the big phone companies like ericsson, motorola, nokia that did dominate the beginning of the cell phone are now no players ..they are almost dissapered

2) the one producing horse carriage...did dissaper when cars came out

3) the biggest company producing typewriter...dissapred..and so one...looks like that in China the EV cars producers which did not exist 10 years ago are alresy bigger than many car industries....and so one

Probably the old car inustries will not be able to catch up and dissaper???? could be

This is true for the companies that are not willing or able to adapt to the new world around them. Also there is the theory of the disadvantageous pioneer; Tesla is the pioneer here that disrupts the market, but all their competitors are able to learn from them and implement this new technology with these lessons learnt in mind and with the latest tech. 
What we are seeing is that all car manufacturers do realize that they need to adapt, and they are catching up rapidly, with all their budget and large numbers economy behind them. It took them a while, but it seems they learnt from Tesla how to make hybrids/EVs "cool", and now they know how, the market will be flooded soon.

 

Car industry is a long term thing. Like a long marathon instead of a sprint.

Like a standing mile drag race. Teslas maybe able to get ahead at the start, like the current EV market where they get a head start. But the other companies have resources Tesla can only dream about and at the end of the mile, I will not bet on Tesla winning the drag race. 

Technology research is basically a man-hour thing. One either throw more hours or more men into it. A head start is nothing if one cannot keep the lead. Other car companies may not have the hours but they certainly have more money to hire more man to catch up and pass the leader. 


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